Gov. Ned Lamont leads Republican challenger Ryan Fazio 58%–38% in a Quinnipiac University poll released October 14, with 3% choosing neither candidate. Democrat Lamont is seeking a third term in the November 3 election.
Quinnipiac surveyed 1,225 Connecticut likely voters October 8–12. Its accessible release text gives a sampling margin of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points, including the design effect, and describes live interviews using randomly dialed landline and cellphone numbers.
In Quinnipiac’s September 16 release, Lamont stood at 55% and Fazio at 38%. The new figures increase the measured gap from 17 to 20 percentage points. That comparison alone does not establish that the three-point change is statistically significant.
CT Mirror’s Mark Pazniokas reports that Fazio’s campaign spent $7.2 million on broadcast, cable or streaming advertising since July, yet 30% of respondents had not heard enough about him to form an opinion. Advertising expenditure and name recognition are context, not proof of what caused the polling results.
This is one statewide survey, not a vote count or guaranteed outcome. It does not supply separate estimates for Eastern Connecticut’s towns. CT Mirror’s full report and the accessible text indexed from Quinnipiac describe the same poll; they are not two independently conducted surveys. The complete primary release could not be opened directly during this review.
Residents can use the Secretary of the State’s MyVote portal to check registration, locate voting sites and review official November 3 sample ballots. Those official records, rather than polling percentages, determine a voter’s registration and ballot choices.